Viewing archive of Monday, 21 June 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Jun 21 1301 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 21 Jun 2021 until 23 Jun 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
21 Jun 2021077003
22 Jun 2021080005
23 Jun 2021085006

Bulletin

Solar activity has been very low over the past 24 hours. Catania region 7 (NOAA AR 12833) is rotating on the western solar hemisphere. Two active regions (NOAA AR 12830 and NOAA AR 12831) are about to rotate on the visible disk. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained above the 1000 pfu alert threshold, were it is expected to remain during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to remain at those levels over the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed slightly decreased from 432 to 345 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength fluctuated between 3 and 6 nT. The values of the Bz component varied between -4 and +3 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly on the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). Any effects from the high speed stream from the extention of the northern negative polarity Coronal Hole (CH) or the southern positive CH could be expected, but possibly not in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 0-3) over the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 20 Jun 2021

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux076
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number014 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk, Vorkuta
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C8.08

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