Viewing archive of Sunday, 5 December 2021
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2021 Dec 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 339 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Dec 2021IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 06 Dec to 08 Dec
| Class M | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Dec 083 Predicted 06 Dec-08 Dec 082/080/080 90 Day Mean 05 Dec 087
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Dec 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Dec 006/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec 008/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Dec to 08 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 30% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SKAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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