Viewing archive of Wednesday, 6 April 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Apr 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 96 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
06/1023Z. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one and two (07 Apr, 08 Apr)
and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on day
three (09 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 438 km/s at 06/0040Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3827 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (07 Apr) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (08 Apr, 09 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Apr to 09 Apr
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Apr 117 Predicted 07 Apr-09 Apr 116/115/112 90 Day Mean 06 Apr 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Apr 006/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Apr 014/016 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 019/025-009/012-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Apr to 09 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 15% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 70% | 40% | 55% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Wednesday, 9 October 2024
X1.8 solar flare, severe geomagnetic storm watch
Tuesday, 8 October 2024
Double X-flares, glancing blow possible
Latest forum messages
Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1185Unspecified geomagnetic activity 155750 mhz F2 39AR13883 2024/11/04 CME 14AR 13883 106
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/10/31 | X2.03 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/05 | M4.1 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/10/12 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | 141.4 -74.1 |
| November 2024 | 215.8 +74.4 |
| Last 30 days | 160.9 +7.7 |