Viewing archive of Sunday, 15 May 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 May 15 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 135 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 16 May to 18 May
| Class M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 May 154 Predicted 16 May-18 May 154/152/152 90 Day Mean 15 May 120
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 May 009/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May 011/014 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 013/014-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May to 18 May
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 45% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukReykjavik
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnKuopio
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
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