Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 June 2022

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jun 08 2225 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 159 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jun 2022

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 336 km/s at 08/1652Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 08/0637Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 08/0817Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 106 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jun to 11 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Jun 100
  Predicted   09 Jun-11 Jun 100/105/105
  90 Day Mean        08 Jun 126

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jun  011/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Jun  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jun to 11 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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G1 - Minor geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 5
Threshold reached: 15:01 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Norilsk
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (533.8 km/sec.)
A southern hemisphere coronal hole was detected in an earth-facing position on Tuesday, 8 April 2025

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