Viewing archive of Thursday, 1 September 2022

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2022 Sep 01 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Sep 2022 until 03 Sep 2022
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
01 Sep 2022113010
02 Sep 2022110007
03 Sep 2022108007

Bulletin

Only minor C-class flaring from NOAA AR 3089 (beta-gamma-delta magnetic field configuration) was recorded in the last 24 hours. This AR has potential for M-class flares, so they remain possible but not very likely. C-class flares can be expected.

No earth directed CMEs were detected in the past 24 hours.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is below the 10 pfu mark, and is expected to remain so. The greater than 2MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain at nominal levels over the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is around 530 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude around 5 nT. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field has reached -8 nT, for several hours around midnight. The solar wind is expected to gradually move to a slow solar wind regime in the next 24 hours.

Active geomagnetic conditions were recorded over the past 24 hours (NOAA Kp and K_Dourbes up to 4), as a consequence of the period with Bz up to -8 nT. Mostly unsettled conditions (with possible active periods) can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 052, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 31 Aug 2022

Wolf number Catania072
10cm solar flux113
AK Chambon La Forêt022
AK Wingst016
Estimated Ap016
Estimated international sunspot number044 - Based on 35 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NT
Anchorage, AK, Fairbanks, AK, Juneau, AK

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