Viewing archive of Thursday, 1 September 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Sep 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 244 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Sep 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 02 Sep to 04 Sep
| Class M | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Sep 116 Predicted 02 Sep-04 Sep 116/118/118 90 Day Mean 01 Sep 121
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Aug 012/011 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Sep 007/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep 009/010-012/015-021/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Sep to 04 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 35% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 15% | 40% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 30% | 65% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukReykjavik
Kiruna
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Kirkenes, Tromsø, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk
Luleå, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Sundsvall
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
Latest news
Coronal hole faces Earth
X2.0 solar flare from sunspot region 4001
Coronal hole faces Earth, Minor G1 geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Latest alerts
23:12 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 77GW at 00:01 UTC
19:39 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 53GW at 20:34 UTC
19:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 18:55 UTC
17:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 17:30 UTC
16:18 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.22 flare
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/21 | M1.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/14 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 138.4 -16.2 |
| Last 30 days | 140.3 -10.9 |