Viewing archive of Tuesday, 13 September 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Sep 13 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 256 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Sep 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 14 Sep to 16 Sep
| Class M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Sep 154 Predicted 14 Sep-16 Sep 155/155/160 90 Day Mean 13 Sep 123
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Sep 009/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Sep 007/009 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep 005/005-006/005-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Sep to 16 Sep
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 20% | 30% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ReykjavikCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukTórshavn
Trondheim
Sundsvall
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