Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 February 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Feb 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 39 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Feb 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 09 Feb to 11 Feb
| Class M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Class X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Feb 192 Predicted 09 Feb-11 Feb 192/195/195 90 Day Mean 08 Feb 154
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Feb 012/015 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Feb 013/016 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 009/010-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Feb to 11 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MBCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
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