Viewing archive of Monday, 19 June 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Jun 19 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 170 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jun 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 20 Jun to 22 Jun
| Class M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Jun 169 Predicted 20 Jun-22 Jun 170/170/165 90 Day Mean 19 Jun 153
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jun 012/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jun 008/011 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 011/014-011/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jun to 22 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 35% | 35% | 35% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, UtsjokiKirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna
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| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/21 | M1.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/22 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
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| March 2025 | 142 -12.6 |
| Last 30 days | 141.3 -10.4 |