Viewing archive of Tuesday, 1 August 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Aug 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 02 Aug to 04 Aug
| Class M | 55% | 55% | 50% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Aug 175 Predicted 02 Aug-04 Aug 175/170/165 90 Day Mean 01 Aug 165
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul 008/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug 011/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 014/018-009/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug to 04 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 45% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MBCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Reykjavik
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