Viewing archive of Monday, 20 November 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Nov 20 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 324 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Nov 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 21 Nov to 23 Nov
| Class M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Nov 157 Predicted 21 Nov-23 Nov 160/165/170 90 Day Mean 20 Nov 146
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Nov 003/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Nov 006/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 010/012-012/014-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Nov to 23 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 30% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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