Viewing archive of Friday, 21 February 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Feb 21 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 52 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Feb 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3 event observed at 21/1215Z from Region 4000 (N17E07). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (22 Feb, 23 Feb, 24 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 573 km/s at 20/2107Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 20/2200Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 21/1927Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 356 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (22 Feb, 23 Feb, 24 Feb). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (22 Feb, 23 Feb, 24 Feb).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Feb to 24 Feb
Class M40%40%40%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       21 Feb 197
  Predicted   22 Feb-24 Feb 195/190/185
  90 Day Mean        21 Feb 193

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 20 Feb  005/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 21 Feb  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb  006/005-005/005-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Feb to 24 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm20%20%25%
Major-severe storm10%10%20%

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 06:01 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Yellowknife, NT

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!

No Ads on SWL Pro!
No Ads on SWL Pro! Subscriptions
Donations
Support SpaceWeatherLive.com! Donate
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

07:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 05:59 UTC

alert


Saturday, 6 December 2025
22:15 UTC - Type IV Radio Emission

Begin Time: 06/12/2025 20:57 UTC


22:00 UTC - 10cm Radio Burst

Begin Time: 06/12/2025 20:35 UTC Maximum Time: 06/12/2025 20:36 UTC Duration: 4 minutes. Peak flux: 1100 sfu


22:00 UTC - Type II Radio Emission

Begin Time: 06/12/2025 20:40 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1143km/sec.


21:00 UTC - Solar flare

Strong M8.12 flare from sunspot region 4301

alert


Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/12/01X1.9
Last M-flare2025/12/06M8.1
Last geomagnetic storm2025/12/04Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
November 202591.8 -22.8
December 2025167.7 +75.9
Last 30 days107.1 +13.7

This day in history*

Solar flares
12024M3.2
22006M2.97
32024M2.3
42013M1.82
51999M1.46
DstG
11982-78G2
22022-63G1
31959-60
41960-60G2
51993-57G1
*since 1994

Social networks