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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Mar 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 89 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day one (31 Mar) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 505 km/s at 29/2230Z. Total IMF reached 21 nT at 30/2055Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 30/0658Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2772 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Class M55%50%50%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Mar 171
  Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr 170/175/175
  90 Day Mean        30 Mar 180

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  010/012
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Mar  010/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  007/008-009/010-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%30%25%
Major-severe storm25%25%25%

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Arkhangelsk, Murmansk, Vorkuta
Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (548.9 km/sec.)
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
M1.05

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