Viewing archive of Tuesday, 10 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 345 Issued at 2200Z on 10 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8003 (S29W18) HAD
SEVERAL FLARES AND IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION VISIBLE. ITS SPOT
GROUP IS A CRO BETA AND CONTINUES TO GROW SLOWLY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW. REGION 8003 HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL C-CLASS
ACTIVITY
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 11 DEC to 13 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 DEC 072 Predicted 11 DEC-13 DEC 076/075/072 90 Day Mean 10 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 DEC 010/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 DEC 019/018 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 DEC-13 DEC 015/015-010/010-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 DEC to 13 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 25% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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