Viewing archive of Saturday, 23 December 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Dec 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 358 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Dec 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity continued at low levels. Region 9283 (S14E65) produced numerous impulsive, low-level C-class subflares. No significant changes were observed in any of the visible regions. New Region 9284 (N05W07) was numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Active to minor storm levels were observed during 23/0000-0600 UTC.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during most of the period with active periods possible during the first day.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Dec to 26 Dec
Class M25%25%25%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Dec 191
  Predicted   24 Dec-26 Dec  190/190/190
  90 Day Mean        23 Dec 175
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Dec  006/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Dec  017/026
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Dec-26 Dec  015/015-012/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Dec to 26 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%25%20%
Minor storm20%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active40%30%25%
Minor storm25%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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