Viewing archive of Monday, 25 February 2002
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2002IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
| Class M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Feb 211 Predicted 26 Feb-28 Feb 215/220/220 90 Day Mean 25 Feb 223
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Feb 007/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb 007/005-007/007-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SKAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Calgary, ABLatest news
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