Issued: 2013 Dec 04 1257 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
04 Dec 2013 | 136 | 008 |
05 Dec 2013 | 140 | 007 |
06 Dec 2013 | 140 | 007 |
Two C-class flares occurred this morning. A C6.8 flare was observed at 00:56 UT on the east limb near the location where AR 1895 and 1897 are expected to return. AR 1897 produced M-class flares during its previous rotation. A C4.7 flare occurred in AR 1907 on the west limb, peaking at 04:58 UT. This flare was associated with a CME observed in SOHO/LASCO and STEREO-A/COR2 around 06:00 UT after a data gap. This CME is not earth-directed. Geomagnetic conditions are currently at quiet levels (KDourbes = 2). We expect possible unsettled conditions on December 7 due to the arrival of a fast wind stream originating from a coronal hole that passed the central meridian today.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 086, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 136 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 016 |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 073 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
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