Viewing archive of Saturday, 1 April 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Apr 01 1304 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Apr 2017 until 03 Apr 2017
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
01 Apr 2017092015
02 Apr 2017093012
03 Apr 2017094012

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. The largest flare was a C1.7 class flare. Active Region (AR) 2645 (McIntosh class:Ekc; Mag.type:Beta-Gmma) has been most active, producing 2 C-class flares, including the C1.7 class flare, which peaked at 17:37 UT yesterday. All other ARs have shown low levels of activity. AR 2645 has shown some evidence of flux emergence and cancellation in HMI magnetogram observations, this may increase flaring activity. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a high probability of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares. The solar wind speed has decreased from 700 till 580 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 4 nT and 5.5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -4.2 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-3 (NOAA) and local K index 2-4 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There are no significant trans-equatorial coronal holes. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled to active.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 070, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 31 Mar 2017

Wolf number Catania069
10cm solar flux091
AK Chambon La Forêt026
AK Wingst027
Estimated Ap029
Estimated international sunspot number/// - Based on /// stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu, Kuopio
Bergen, Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-6.08nT).

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