Issued: 2017 Apr 01 1304 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
01 Apr 2017 | 092 | 015 |
02 Apr 2017 | 093 | 012 |
03 Apr 2017 | 094 | 012 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. The largest flare was a C1.7 class flare. Active Region (AR) 2645 (McIntosh class:Ekc; Mag.type:Beta-Gmma) has been most active, producing 2 C-class flares, including the C1.7 class flare, which peaked at 17:37 UT yesterday. All other ARs have shown low levels of activity. AR 2645 has shown some evidence of flux emergence and cancellation in HMI magnetogram observations, this may increase flaring activity. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a high probability of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares. The solar wind speed has decreased from 700 till 580 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 4 nT and 5.5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -4.2 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-3 (NOAA) and local K index 2-4 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There are no significant trans-equatorial coronal holes. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled to active.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 070, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 069 |
10cm solar flux | 091 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 026 |
AK Wingst | 027 |
Estimated Ap | 029 |
Estimated international sunspot number | /// - Based on /// stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Rovaniemi, SodankyläCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 01:45 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 00:44 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 144.7 +10.5 |
Last 30 days | 138.4 +2.2 |