Viewing archive of Thursday, 13 January 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jan 13 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 13 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jan 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 14 Jan to 16 Jan
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Jan 106 Predicted 14 Jan-16 Jan 106/108/110 90 Day Mean 13 Jan 095
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jan 003/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jan 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 006/005-011/014-018/024
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jan to 16 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 65% | 70% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
ReykjavikCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Trondheim
Kiruna, Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå
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