Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 March 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Mar 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 67 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
08/0313Z. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (09
Mar, 10 Mar, 11 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 517 km/s at 08/0025Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4769 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Mar) and quiet to active levels on
days two and three (10 Mar, 11 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar to 11 Mar
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Mar 115 Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 116/116/114 90 Day Mean 08 Mar 108
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 007/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 006/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 005/005-009/012-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar to 11 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Space weather facts
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| Last M-flare | 2024/11/05 | M4.1 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/10/12 | Kp5 (G1) |
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