Viewing archive of Tuesday, 15 March 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Mar 15 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 74 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Mar 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 16 Mar to 18 Mar
| Class M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Mar 110 Predicted 16 Mar-18 Mar 110/108/108 90 Day Mean 15 Mar 111
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Mar 013/012 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Mar 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Mar-18 Mar 005/005-006/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Mar to 18 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 35% | 40% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
Calgary, AB, Winnipeg, MBLatest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
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