Viewing archive of Thursday, 14 December 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Dec 14 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 348 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Dec 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 15 Dec to 17 Dec
| Class M | 55% | 55% | 40% |
| Class X | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Proton | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Dec 155 Predicted 15 Dec-17 Dec 145/140/140 90 Day Mean 14 Dec 149
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Dec 007/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Dec 015/017 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Dec-17 Dec 013/020-019/022-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Dec to 17 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 20% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 35% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTFairbanks, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SKAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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