Viewing archive of Sunday, 28 February 2021
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2021 Feb 28 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 59 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Feb 2021IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 01 Mar to 03 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Feb 078 Predicted 01 Mar-03 Mar 078/074/074 90 Day Mean 28 Feb 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Feb 003/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Feb 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar 010/012-015/018-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Mar to 03 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 40% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 25% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 40% | 60% | 40% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Iqaluit, NU, Saskatoon, SK, Whitehorse, YTJuneau, AK
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