Viewing archive of Saturday, 29 January 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jan 29 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 29 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jan 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jan to 01 Feb
| Class M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jan 125 Predicted 30 Jan-01 Feb 128/130/125 90 Day Mean 29 Jan 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jan 007/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jan 016/020 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 009/010-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jan to 01 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 15% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 01% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 50% | 20% | 40% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioArkhangelsk
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar
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